From Data to Diagnosis: Imperial Research for World Heart Day

World Heart Day, taking place annually on 29 September, is a global initiative to raise awareness of cardiovascular disease – the leading cause of death worldwide. This year, the National Heart and Lung Institute (NHLI) is spotlighting pioneering research that’s shaping the future of heart health.  

From AI-powered diagnostics to personalised digital twins and sex-specific insights into cardiomyopathies, Imperial researchers are working across disciplines to improve the prevention, diagnosis, and treatment of heart conditions. Their work reflects the World Heart Day mission: to empower individuals, communities, and health systems to take action for better heart health. 

Harnessing AI to Unlock the Hidden Potential of ECGs

Every year, more than a billion electrocardiograms (ECGs) are performed globally, yet much of the information they hold remains untapped. 

Dr Arun Saus research is changing that. At the heart of his work is AIRE (AI-ECG Risk Estimation), a cutting-edge platform that uses artificial intelligence (AI) to transform ECGs into powerful tools for predicting a wide range of health risks. 

Developed using data from over a million ECGs and validated across more than two million people on four continents, AIRE can forecast not only heart-related conditions, such as heart attacks, rhythm disorders, heart failure, and valve defects, but also non-cardiac diseases like diabetes, kidney and liver disease, and even early mortality. 

Example patient-specific survival predictions

Example patient-specific survival predictions

“In my clinical work I regularly see patients where heart disease is detected very late and early diagnosis could have made a major difference in the lives of those patients. AIRE addresses the challenges of late detection, as well as identifying who is at risk of serious life-threatening heart rhythm problems and more.”

Dr Arun Sau

Dr Arun Sau

The inspiration for this work came from the clinic. Faced with difficult decisions about whether to implant pacemakers or defibrillators in patients with uncertain risk, Dr Sau began exploring how ECGs could be used to better address patient needs. That curiosity led to a deeper dive into AI, and ultimately, the creation of AIRE. 

Beyond the lab, Dr Sau, Academic Clinical Lecturer, and his team, led by Dr Fu Siong Ng, have engaged with patients, community leaders and the public to understand their views on AI in cardiovascular health. Their feedback has helped shape the research, reinforcing the importance of accuracy, equity, and data protection. 

With patients often facing multiple co-morbidities, tools like AIRE offer a way forward. Dr Sau says:

“This complexity demands innovative approaches – like AI-enhanced risk prediction – to identify vulnerable individuals earlier and tailor interventions effectively, moving beyond a ‘one-size-fits-all’ approach to more personalised care."

Targeting the Heart’s Wiring to Understand Heart Rhythm Problems

Novel subcellular resolution spatial transcriptomic study of aged human pacemaker tissue. Pacemaker cells in fluorescent green

Novel subcellular resolution spatial transcriptomic study of aged human pacemaker tissue. Pacemaker cells in fluorescent green

Novel subcellular resolution spatial transcriptomic study of aged human pacemaker tissue. Pacemaker cells in fluorescent green

Your heart will beat about two billion times in a lifetime, slowing to around 60 beats per minute during sleep and accelerating to more than 200 during intense exercise. This remarkable adaptability is driven by the heart’s electrical wiring system – the cardiac conduction system – which initiates and coordinates every beat.

Dr Alicia D’Souza is an Associate Professor in Cardiac Electrophysiology, and her lab is one of the few worldwide dedicated to understanding how it functions and why it fails. When it malfunctions, the consequences are serious: fainting, exercise intolerance, heart failure, atrial fibrillation, or even sudden death. Currently, treatment relies almost entirely on pacemakers and other surgically implanted devices – effective but invasive, costly, and not suitable for all patients.

Dr Alicia D'Souza

Dr Alicia D'Souza

Dr Alicia D'Souza

Pacemakers are one of cardiology’s great triumphs, yet they do not solve the disease itself and leave major gaps in care. I was inspired by the chance to work on one of the most underexplored but vital systems in the heart using human tissue and cutting-edge tools, with the aim of restoring natural rhythm.”

To uncover the root causes, Dr D’Souza’s team combine living human heart tissue, advanced electrophysiology, multi-omics profiling, gene therapy tools, precision transgenic mouse models, and computer modelling. “This integrated approach allows us to probe how inflammation, ageing, circadian rhythms, heart failure, and exercise training remodel the conduction system and trigger arrhythmias.”

Conduction system disease is treated entirely with pacemakers, cardiac resynchronisation therapy, or conduction system pacing. These save lives but do not cure the underlying biology, don't work for all patients, and are expensive from a public health perspective. Dr D'Souza's lab works to address these issues by:

•                Identifying biomarkers and mechanisms – from cytokines, circadian clock genes, and microRNAs to ion channel remodelling – that predict or drive disease.

•                Developing drug- and gene-based therapies (e.g., Galectin-3 inhibition, anti-cytokine treatment, microRNA modulation) to maintain healthy rhythm and reduce reliance on devices.

“This could directly benefit patients by offering less invasive, biologically targeted treatments, lowering risks and costs, and improving quality of life. At the same time, our human tissue studies provide mechanistic insights of immediate relevance to clinicians, regulators, and industry developing next-generation rhythm therapies.”

In the past few years, Dr D’Souza’s team have uncovered several paradigm-shifting insights into how the heart’s wiring system ages, adapts, and fails.

Using state of the art single cell approaches we discovered that ageing and heart failure trigger an inflammatory response in the heart’s wiring system that disrupts electrical activity of human pacemaker myocytes. Crucially, by blocking a protein called Galectin-3, we were able to restore normal conduction in experimental models,  pointing to a promising new treatment avenue.”

They also overturned a century-old dogma by showing that the sinoatrial node contains its own molecular clock, independent of the nervous system. This intrinsic circadian machinery, together with newly identified cortisol-sensitive pathways, helps to explain the morning peak in lethal arrhythmias.

In the context of arrhythmias in endurance athletes, “we demonstrated that the slow heart rates and conduction changes long observed in endurance training are not simply due to heightened vagal tone, as assumed for decades, but arise from intrinsic remodelling of pacemaker cells themselves. Extending this work, we recently mapped pulmonary vein sleeve myocytes as novel atrial fibrillation triggers in athletes, a discovery that was recognised with a Young Investigator Award for Arrhythmia and Electrophysiology at the European Society of Cardiology for Dr Roman Tikhomirov.

Taken together, these findings overturn the view that conduction system decline is an inevitable by-product of ageing, disease, or training. Instead, they reveal it as a mechanistically driven process, one that can be intercepted, corrected, and ultimately prevented.

group photo of the D'Souza Group in Kew Gardens

The D'Souza group on a trip to Kew Gardens.

The D'Souza group on a trip to Kew Gardens.

Dr D’Souza’s goal is “to transform conduction disease from a surgically managed condition to one that is preventable and druggable. This vision includes reducing pacemaker implants, particularly in frail elderly patients; developing new therapies for His–Purkinje dysfunction in heart failure where devices fall short; delaying or preventing atrial fibrillation that often follows conduction system dysfunction; and advancing precision medicine through biomarker-guided, computationally modelled interventions delivered to the right patient at the right time.”

She’s working toward a future where rhythm disorders are not just managed with devices, but prevented and treated at their source. “Your heartbeat depends on a wonderfully intricate yet fragile wiring system that can be disrupted by ageing, inflammation, stress, and lifestyle choices. Protecting it starts with prevention: regular physical activity, balanced nutrition, and avoiding cardiovascular risk factors all reduce strain on the heart. But the future holds even more promise. Our research is opening the door to new medicines and targeted therapies that can restore the heart’s natural rhythm, reducing reliance on devices and giving patients healthier, longer lives.”

Rethinking Arrhythmia Diagnosis with AI

“Heart research is transforming and saving lives – but only thanks to patients’ and the public’s support.” 

Dr Ahran Arnold, Associate Professor of Cardiology at Imperial and Consultant Cardiologist across two NHS Trusts, is leading a wave of innovation in the diagnosis and treatment of heart rhythm disorders. His research spans arrhythmias, inherited heart disease, and digital health, with a strong focus on using technology to personalise care. 

 “We’re using AI to pick up the earliest stages of heart disease while people go about their daily lives,” Ahran explains. Results from a wearable ECG-recording T-shirt, developed in collaboration with the startup KYMIRA, Dr Arnold and his team are applying machine learning algorithms to the ECG signals, that can detect subtle patterns that even expert clinicians might miss. One such algorithm can diagnose the presence of Brugada syndrome, an inherited disease that can lead to sudden death if not treated early. 

Another breakthrough comes from his work on pacemaker optimisation. In a recent study, the EMORI-HCM trial, Dr Arnold’s team showed that simply adjusting pacemaker settings using a novel protocol could significantly improve symptoms and exercise capacity in patients with obstructive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy. “The patients did not have to undergo any invasive procedures or take any medication; the treatment is applied just by changing a setting” he says. The study was published in the Journal of the American College of Cardiology. 

Dr Arnold’s approach is deeply collaborative. For EMORI-HCM, his team partnered with Heart Hive, a platform that empowers patients to actively engage in research by choosing trials they want to join.  

His vision is clear: earlier, more accurate diagnoses and personalised treatments that improve lives without adding burden. “When the right arrhythmia diagnosis and treatment are identified, through research, lives are saved and transformed.” 

Dr Ahran Arnold (pictured right) and Dr Keenan Saleh

Dr Ahran Arnold (pictured right) and Dr Keenan Saleh

Tackling Cardiomyopathy with Precision and Equity

"Cardiovascular disease is the number one killer of women globally, claiming far more lives than breast cancer, yet women’s symptoms are often overlooked or misattributed."

For Dr Paz Tayal, Associate Professor in Cardiology at Imperial’s National Heart and Lung Institute, this stark reality drives her mission. A consultant cardiologist specialising in heart muscle diseases, Dr Tayal has spent over a decade researching cardiomyopathies, particularly genetic forms, to uncover how sex and genetics shape disease outcomes. 

Her work is rooted in a simple but powerful observation: “We accept that men and women have different shoe sizes, but when it comes to healthcare, everything is treated as sex-neutral.” That disconnect sparked her research into whether biological sex should influence how we diagnose and treat heart muscle conditions. “It doesn’t matter if the answer is yes or no, what matters is that we’ve done the research to find out.” 

Dr Tayal’s studies have revealed striking sex differences in Dilated Cardiomyopathy (DCM). Her team showed that current diagnostic thresholds disproportionately identify men, while sex-specific approaches, such as imaging-first and genotype-first strategies, help uncover cases in women that would otherwise be missed. “If you’re missing diagnoses, you’re missing treatment – and that’s what helps people long term.” 

Her recent research also found that variants in the desmoplakin (DSP) gene are three times more likely to affect women, potentially putting them at greater risk of dangerous heart rhythms. These discoveries are helping to reshape how clinicians think about heart disease in women and underscore the need for tailored diagnostics and long-term monitoring, especially after pregnancy. 

Dr Tayal is also a passionate advocate for women’s cardiovascular health. She co-leads the Imperial Women’s Cardiovascular Health Network of Excellence, which brings together clinicians, scientists, and patient advocates to raise awareness of sex differences in health and disease and improve access to care for women, and the BHF–NIHR PREG-Heart study, which explores how pregnancy affects long-term heart health. She’s deeply committed to involving patients in research, ensuring that lived experiences guide scientific priorities. 

But she’s also candid about the challenges. “One of the most pressing challenges is the declining number of clinical academics in the UK. Without a strong pipeline of clinicians engaged in research, there is a real risk that progress in translating scientific discoveries into patient benefit will stall.” 

Dr Tayal’s message for World Heart Day is clear and urgent:

Heart health matters to everyone – regardless of age, sex, or where you live. Small changes can make a big difference, but the first step is awareness.”

She believes that young women need to be better informed. “We all know to check our breasts and attend cervical screenings, but heart health isn’t on the radar, and it should be.” 

Her work is contributing to a future where every patient with cardiomyopathy receives the right care at the right time. “By closing the gaps in diagnosis and treatment, we can improve survival and quality of life for all.” 

Building Digital Twins to Personalise Heart Care

Professor Steven Niederer, Chair in Biomedical Engineering at the NHLI, is leading an effort to transform cardiovascular care through the creation of cardiac digital twins, personalised computer models that simulate an individual’s heart function. These models integrate imaging, sensor data, machine learning, and advanced computational techniques to help clinicians better understand disease progression, tailor treatments, and accelerate drug development. 

Our research shows that the potential of cardiac digital twins goes beyond diagnostics. By replicating the hearts of people across the population, we have shown that digital twins can offer us deeper insights into the people at risk of heart disease. It also shows how lifestyle and gender can affect heart function.”

The team’s recent breakthroughs include generating thousands of digital twins to study heart failure, offering new insights into how different patients respond to therapies. The lab's approach is deeply collaborative, working closely with cardiologists, researchers even join procedures in the cath lab to collect real-world data that feeds back into the models – a unique loop between engineering and medicine that enhances both research and patient care. 

These efforts are supported by partnerships with King’s College London and The Alan Turing Institute, and powered by recent advances in AI that allow digital twins to be built faster and at scale. Professor Niederer credits early mentors, including Peter Hunter and Nic Smith, for shaping his approach to translational science and open collaboration. “It’s incredibly rewarding to see our lab members, often from computational backgrounds, working side-by-side with clinicians to make a real impact.” 

As cardiovascular disease continues to evolve in complexity and scale, the need for innovative, inclusive, and data-driven solutions has never been greater. The work of Imperial’s researchers, whether decoding ECGs with AI, tailoring care through genetic insights, or simulating heart function with digital twins, is helping to redefine how we understand and treat heart disease. On World Heart Day, we celebrate these advances and continue our commitment to research that not only saves lives but also ensures equal care for all.


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