Imperial College London


Faculty of MedicineSchool of Public Health

Research Postgraduate







Medical SchoolSt Mary's Campus





I'm a second year PhD student, working with Prof Samir Bhatt, Dr Elizaveta Semenova, Dr Xenia Miscouridou and Dr Thomas Mellan. My main interests are applications of Bayesian Statistics and Machine Learning in Epidemiology.

During years 2020-21 I was involved in the COVID-19 response research. I have an MSc in Applied Mathematics and an MRes in  Infectious Disease Epidemiology. Before joining the PhD programme, I spent 2 years working as a Data Scientist. In years 2021-22 I was a co-organiser in the Earth Observation Network.

I'm part of the Machine Learning and Global Health Network.

Selected Publications

Journal Articles

Hawryluk I, Mishra S, Flaxman S, et al., 2023, Application of referenced thermodynamic integration to Bayesian model selection, PLOS One, Vol:18, ISSN:1932-6203, Pages:1-16

Brizzi A, Whittaker C, Servo LMS, et al., 2022, Spatial and temporal fluctuations in COVID-19 fatality rates in Brazilian hospitals, Nature Medicine, Vol:28, ISSN:1078-8956

Wilde H, Mellan T, Hawryluk I, et al., 2021, The association between mechanical ventilator compatible bed occupancy and mortality risk in intensive care patients with COVID-19: a national retrospective cohort study., BMC Medicine, Vol:19, ISSN:1741-7015, Pages:1-12

Faria NR, Mellan TA, Whittaker C, et al., 2021, Genomics and epidemiology of the P.1 SARS-CoV-2 lineage in Manaus, Brazil, Science, Vol:372, ISSN:0036-8075, Pages:815-821

Hawryluk I, Mellan TA, Hoeltgebaum H, et al., 2020, Inference of COVID-19 epidemiological distributions from Brazilian hospital data, Journal of the Royal Society Interface, Vol:17, ISSN:1742-5662, Pages:20200596-20200596


Hawryluk I, Hoeltgebaum H, Mishra S, et al., 2021, Gaussian process nowcasting: application to COVID-19 mortality reporting, 37th Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence, UAI 2021, PMLR, Pages:1258-1268

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