Summary
Stochastic models of rainfall have been used in research and design in the water sector for many years. They have recently found application in climate change scenario generation where probabilistic approaches provide statistics of changed climates but only limited time series information. The principles of the weather generator of the UKCP09 projections will be presented together with example applications. Limitations and future developments will also be discussed.
Biography
Chris started work at the Met Research Flight of the UK Met Office carrying out research into radiation transfer in the atmosphere. He moved to Newcastle University where he started work as a Research Associate on Mediterranean climate change and hydrology and large scale hydrological modelling. Since then he has worked on various aspects of the water sector ranging from drought to flood risk, but mostly in the context of climate change impacts and adaptation responses and using stochastic rainfall models. His recent work includes leading the Weather Generator component of the UKCP09 national climate scenarios. He is Professor of Hydrology and Climate Change and heads the Water Resources Engineering group in the School of Civil Engineering and Geosciences.