Mean-field limits of spreading dynamics on higher-order networks
Abstract: Exact analysis of spreading dynamics on networks typically requires solving systems of differential equations whose dimension grows exponentially with network size, necessitating systematic approximation methods. In this talk, I will discuss two approaches-top-down and bottom-up-for deriving mean-field limits and approximations of high-dimensional models [1]. Both approaches rely on closure assumptions, which are usually justified only for networks with strong structural properties, such as symmetry, tree-like structure, or good mixing, as in configuration-model networks. I will present two exact results: (i) for tree-like networks using the bottom-up approach [2], and (ii) for networks with Poisson-type degree distributions using the top-down approach [3]. In the second part of the talk, I will extend these mean-field approaches to higher-order networks (hypergraphs), where group interactions involving three or more nodes give rise to qualitatively new phenomena—including bistability and multistability—that are absent in classical pairwise models. I will focus on the interplay between structure and dynamics and take steps towards disentangling their respective roles in determining system-level outcomes. I will show that (i) even highly symmetric structures can support these complex behaviours [4,5], and (ii) overlap between hyperedges can inhibit bistability and fundamentally alter its emergence mechanisms [6].
| References: |
| [1] Kiss, I. Z., Miller, J. C., & Simon, P. L. (2017). Mathematics of epidemics on networks. Cham: Springer, 598(2017), 31. |
| [2] Sharkey, K. J., Kiss, I. Z., Wilkinson, R. R., & Simon, P. L. (2015). Exact equations for SIR epidemics on tree graphs. Bulletin of mathematical biology, 77(4), 614-645. |
| [3] Kiss, I. Z., Kenah, E., & Rempala, G. A. (2023). Necessary and sufficient conditions for exact closures of epidemic equations on configuration model networks. Journal of Mathematical Biology, 87(2), 36. |
| [4] Kiss, I. Z., Iacopini, I., Simon, P. L., & Georgiou, N. (2023). Insights from exact social contagion dynamics on networks with higher-order structures. Journal of Complex Networks, 11(6), cnad044. |
| [5] Kiss, I. Z., Bick, C., & Simon, P. L. (2025). Decoding how higher-order network interactions shape contagion dynamics. Journal of Mathematical Biology, 91(3), 29. |
| [6] Malizia, F., Guzman, A., Iacopini, I., & Kiss, I. Z. (2025). Disentangling the role of heterogeneity and hyperedge overlap in explosive contagion on higher-order networks. Physical Review Letters, 135(20), 207401. |