Citation

BibTex format

@article{Sanchez:2026:10.1108/mlag-01-2026-0002,
author = {Sanchez, Fernandez J and Ruiz, Lopez A and Taborda, D},
doi = {10.1108/mlag-01-2026-0002},
journal = {Machine Learning and Data Science in Geotechnics},
pages = {173--185},
title = {Data-driven surrogates for predicting thermal performance and response functions of thermo-active piles},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/mlag-01-2026-0002},
volume = {2},
year = {2026}
}

RIS format (EndNote, RefMan)

TY  - JOUR
AB - PurposeThis paper develops fast, accurate data-driven surrogate models to predict the thermal performance and thermal response functions of single thermo-active piles. These replace computationally expensive finite element simulations and geometry-specific g-function calculations with generalisable machine-learning models suitable for preliminary design and performance assessment. This study aims to improve accessibility, reduce computational cost and support wider adoption of thermo-active piles within low-carbon and net-zero infrastructure strategies.Design/methodology/approachTwo Artificial Neural Network surrogates were trained on databases generated from 3D transient finite element simulations of thermo-active piles. One surrogate predicts transient power output per unit length under a prescribed inlet fluid temperature, while the second predicts normalised pile wall and outlet thermal responses under constant heat flux. Input parameters were sampled using Latin Hypercube sampling. Model training used feature normalisation, cross-validation and regularisation, with performance evaluated using standard regression metrics and SHAP-based interpretability analysis.FindingsBoth surrogate models demonstrate excellent predictive accuracy and strong generalisation. The power output surrogate achieves R² values exceeding 0.99 with mean absolute errors typically below 2 W/m for most of the operational period. The thermal response surrogate reproduces pile wall and outlet g-functions over 10 years with global per-point R² values of 0.994–0.997 and per-timestep averages of 0.971 (wall) and 0.959 (outlet). Validation against a field thermal response test confirms reliable extrapolation beyond the trained diameter range. Computational time is reduced by several orders of magnitude compared with finite element analysis.Originality/valueThis study presents the first generalisable surrogate framework capable of predicting both power output per unit length
AU - Sanchez,Fernandez J
AU - Ruiz,Lopez A
AU - Taborda,D
DO - 10.1108/mlag-01-2026-0002
EP - 185
PY - 2026///
SN - 3029-0422
SP - 173
TI - Data-driven surrogates for predicting thermal performance and response functions of thermo-active piles
T2 - Machine Learning and Data Science in Geotechnics
UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/mlag-01-2026-0002
VL - 2
ER -

Contact Geotechnics

Geotechnics
Civil and Environmental Engineering
Skempton Building
Imperial College London
South Kensington Campus
London, SW7 2AZ

Telephone:
+44 (0)20 7594 6077
Email: geotechnics@imperial.ac.uk 
Alternatively, you can find a member of Geotechnics staff on the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering website

Follow us on Twitter: @GeotechnicsICL

We are located in the Skempton Building (building number 27 on the South Kensington Campus Map). How to find us