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  • Journal article
    RAAB GM, GORE SM, GOLDBERG DJ, DONNELLY CAet al., 1994,

    BAYESIAN FORECASTING OF THE HUMAN-IMMUNODEFICIENCY-VIRUS EPIDEMIC IN SCOTLAND

    , JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY SERIES A-STATISTICS IN SOCIETY, Vol: 157, Pages: 17-30, ISSN: 0035-9238
    • Cite
    • Citations: 11
  • Journal article
    PICHLER K, FRIEND RH, MURRAY KA, HOLMES AB, MORATTI SCet al., 1994,

    AN INVESTIGATION OF THE PHYSICAL-PROPERTIES OF HIGHLY REGIOREGULAR POLY(3-DODECYLTHIOPHENE)

    , MOLECULAR CRYSTALS AND LIQUID CRYSTALS SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY SECTION A-MOLECULAR CRYSTALS AND LIQUID CRYSTALS, Vol: 256, Pages: 671-677, ISSN: 1058-725X
  • Journal article
    Gregson S, Garnett GP, Shakespeare R, Foster G, Anderson RMet al., 1994,

    Determinants of the demographic impact of HIV-1 in sub-Saharan Africa: the effect of a shorter mean adult incubation period on trends in orphanhood.

    , Health Transit Rev, Vol: 4 Suppl, Pages: 65-92, ISSN: 1036-4005

    Recent evidence suggests that the adult HIV-1 incubation period may be shorter in some sub-Saharan African populations than in Western populations. In this article we use mathematical-model-based simulations to show that, other things being equal, a shorter incubation period can result in smaller but more pronounced HIV-1 epidemics and faster, more acute, changes in demographic features, such as adult mortality, orphanhood and population structure. Empirical studies of orphanhood reveal similar patterns to those found in the simulations, but suggest that migration patterns and structural factors can give rise to greater concentrations of orphans in areas of relatively low HIV-1 prevalence.
  • Conference paper
    GUPTA S, ANDERSON RM, 1994,

    THE EFFECTS OF ANTIVIRAL THERAPY ON THE TRANSMISSION DYNAMICS OF HIV-1

    , 34th Joint National Meeting of the Operations-Research-Society-of-America and The Institute-of-Management-Sciences, Publisher: RAVEN PRESS, Pages: 313-330
  • Journal article
    GARNETT GP, ANDERSON RM, 1994,

    BALANCING SEXUAL PARTNERSHIPS IN AN AGE AND ACTIVITY STRATIFIED MODEL OF HIV TRANSMISSION IN HETEROSEXUAL POPULATIONS

    , IMA JOURNAL OF MATHEMATICS APPLIED IN MEDICINE AND BIOLOGY, Vol: 11, Pages: 161-192, ISSN: 0265-0746
  • Journal article
    WILLIAMS JR, ANDERSON RM, 1994,

    MATHEMATICAL-MODELS OF THE TRANSMISSION DYNAMICS OF HUMAN-IMMUNODEFICIENCY-VIRUS IN ENGLAND AND WALES - MIXING BETWEEN DIFFERENT RISK GROUPS

    , JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY SERIES A-STATISTICS IN SOCIETY, Vol: 157, Pages: 69-87, ISSN: 0035-9238
  • Journal article
    FERGUSON N, WHEATER JF, 1993,

    ON THE TRANSITION FROM CRYSTALLINE TO DYNAMICALLY TRIANGULATED RANDOM SURFACES

    , PHYSICS LETTERS B, Vol: 319, Pages: 104-109, ISSN: 0370-2693
  • Journal article
    GARNETT G, ANDERSON R, 1993,

    AIDS, HIV AND THE SUNDAY-TIMES

    , NATURE, Vol: 366, Pages: 716-716, ISSN: 0028-0836
  • Journal article
    AGUR Z, COJOCARU L, MAZOR G, ANDERSON RM, DANON YLet al., 1993,

    PULSE MASS MEASLES VACCINATION ACROSS AGE COHORTS

    , PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, Vol: 90, Pages: 11698-11702, ISSN: 0027-8424
    • Cite
    • Citations: 279
  • Journal article
    BOILY MC, BRUNHAM RC, 1993,

    THE IMPACT OF HIV AND OTHER STDS ON HUMAN-POPULATIONS - ARE PREDICTIONS POSSIBLE

    , INFECTIOUS DISEASE CLINICS OF NORTH AMERICA, Vol: 7, Pages: 771-792, ISSN: 0891-5520
    • Cite
    • Citations: 19

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