Academic publications

Search or filter publications

Search publications Search

Filter by type:

Filter by publication type

• Book
• Book chapter
• Conference paper
• Journal article
• Other
• Patent
• Poster
• Report
• Scholarly edition
• Software
• Thesis dissertation
• Working paper

Filter by year:

Filter from 2025202420232022202120202019201820172016201520142013201220112010200920082007200620052004200320022001200019991998199719961995199419931992199119901989 to Filter to 2025202420232022202120202019201820172016201520142013201220112010200920082007200620052004200320022001200019991998199719961995199419931992199119901989

---

Search results

• Journal article
  Schleussner C-F, Ganti G, Lejeune Q, Zhu B, Pfleiderer P, Pruetz R, Ciais P, Froelicher TL, Fuss S, Gasser T, Gidden MJ, Kropf CM, Lacroix F, Lamboll R, Martyr R, Maussion F, McCaughey JW, Meinshausen M, Mengel M, Nicholls Z, Quilcaille Y, Sanderson B, Seneviratne SI, Sillmann J, Smith CJ, Steinert NJ, Theokritoff E, Warren R, Price J, Rogelj Jet al., 2024,

  Overconfidence in climate overshoot

  , Nature, Vol: 634, Pages: 366-373, ISSN: 0028-0836

  Global emission reduction efforts continue to be insufficient to meet the temperature goal of the Paris Agreement1. This makes the systematic exploration of so-called overshoot pathways that temporarily exceed a targeted global warming limit before drawing temperatures back down to safer levels a priority for science and policy2,3,4,5. Here we show that global and regional climate change and associated risks after an overshoot are different from a world that avoids it. We find that achieving declining global temperatures can limit long-term climate risks compared with a mere stabilization of global warming, including for sea-level rise and cryosphere changes. However, the possibility that global warming could be reversed many decades into the future might be of limited relevance for adaptation planning today. Temperature reversal could be undercut by strong Earth-system feedbacks resulting in high near-term and continuous long-term warming6,7. To hedge and protect against high-risk outcomes, we identify the geophysical need for a preventive carbon dioxide removal capacity of several hundred gigatonnes. Yet, technical, economic and sustainability considerations may limit the realization of carbon dioxide removal deployment at such scales8,9. Therefore, we cannot be confident that temperature decline after overshoot is achievable within the timescales expected today. Only rapid near-term emission reductions are effective in reducing climate risks.

  • Abstract
  • Publisher Web Link
  • Cite
• Report
  Clarke B, Barnes C, Sparks N, Toumi R, Yang W, Giguere J, Woods Placky B, Gilford D, Pershing A, Winkley S, Vecchi GA, Arrighi J, Roy M, Poole-Selters L, Van Sant C, Grieco M, Singh R, Vahlberg M, Kew S, Pinto I, Otto F, Hess V, Gorham E, Rodgers S, Philip S, Kimutai Jet al., 2024,

  Climate change key driver of catastrophic impacts of Hurricane Helene that devastated both coastal and inland communities

  , Publisher: Centre for Environmental Policy
  • Cite
• Report
  Kimutai J, Vautard R, Zachariah M, Tolasz R, Šustková V, Cassou C, Skalák P, Clarke B, Haslinger K, Vahlberg M, Singh R, Stephens E, Cloke H, Raju E, Baumgart N, Thalheimer L, Chojnicki B, Otto F, Koren G, Philip S, Kew S, Haro P, Vibert J, von Weissenberg Aet al., 2024,

  Climate change and high exposure increased costs and disruption to lives and livelihoods from flooding associated with exceptionally heavy rainfall in Central Europe

  , Publisher: Centre for Environmental Policy
  • Cite
• Report
  Iqbal M, 2024,

  Fusion Before 2050: A net zero future powered by fusion? New possibilities for realising nuclear fusion before 2050

  • Cite
• Report
  Bird J, Wittke I, 2024,

  Climate Change Adaptation: Priority Research Areas

  • Cite
• Report
  Zachariah M, Fioravanti G, Acosta Navarro JC, Kimutai J, Dosio A, Pasotti L, Vahlberg M, Marghidan CP, Otto F, Clarke B, Philip S, Nalato E, Massucchielli LS, Taccardi B, Singh Ret al., 2024,

  Climate change key driver of extreme drought in water scarce Sicily and Sardinia

  , Publisher: Centre for Environmental Policy
  • Cite
• Report
  Becker M, 2024,

  Addressing the Scope 3 Challenge - a workshop briefing from researchers working on corporate climate action and governance

  The Grantham Institute for Climate Change at the Environment teamed up with Oxford Net Zero to convene a set of workshops bringing together academics and other experts to discuss issues related to the assessment and mitigation of scope 3 emissions. This briefing sets out the themes arising from workshop discussions on how standard setting bodies such as SBTi might approach scope 3.

  • Abstract
  • Cite
• Journal article
  Boran I, Pettorelli N, Koberle AC, Borges RA, De Palma A, Delgado D, Deneault A, Deprez A, Imbach P, Jennings NR, Salzmann AM, Widerberg O, Chan Set al., 2024,

  Making Global Climate Action work for nature and people: Priorities for Race to Zero and Race to Resilience

  , ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & POLICY, Vol: 159, ISSN: 1462-9011
  • Cite
• Journal article
  Lau KH, Toumi R, 2024,

  On the spirality of the asymmetric rain field of tropical cyclones under vertical wind shear

  , Geophysical Research Letters, Vol: 51, ISSN: 0094-8276

  The downshear-left enhancement of tropical cyclone rainfall has been demonstrated previously, but the radial dependence of this effect was not analyzed in detail. This study quantifies the progressive upwind shift of the wavenumber-1 maximum rain position with radius relative to the vertical wind shear direction. This shift is visualized as a distinctive upwind spiral of the maximum. It is shown that this spiral pattern is generally observed across various storm intensities, shear strength, and ocean basins. Detailed examination revealed that the maximum downwind deflection angle of the wavenumber-1 rain maximum relative to the shear direction is smaller for tropical storms than hurricanes, but insensitive to hurricane intensity. It is proposed that the spirality is produced by a continuous decline in angular advection of air parcels with radius. The stability of the deflection angle in hurricanes may be accounted for by a corresponding increase in vertical ascent under strengthening angular flow.

  • Abstract
  • Publisher Web Link
  • Cite
• Report
  Clarke B, Zachariah M, Barnes C, Sparks N, Toumi R, Yang W, Vahlberg M, Lagmay AM, Ybañez R, Delmendo PA, Malaiba C, Vrkic D, Otto F, Basconcillo J, Kimutai J, Philip S, Blomendaal N, Singh R, Arrighi J, Rodriguez LC, Rances Aet al., 2024,

  Climate change increased Typhoon Gaemi's wind speeds and rainfall, with devastating impacts across the western Pacific region

  , Publisher: Centre for Environmental Policy
  • Cite
• Report
  Zachariah M, T CS R D T A, Barnes C, AchutaRao K, Mondal A, Saharia M, Vahlberg M, Otto F, Kimutai J, Clarke B, Kew S, Singh R, Sengupta S, Arrighi J, Pereira Marghidan C, Rodriguez LCet al., 2024,

  Landslide-triggering rainfall made more intense by human-induced climate change, devastating highly vulnerable communities in northern Kerala

  , Publisher: Centre for Environmental Policy
  • Cite
• Journal article
  Zhong G, Lin Z, Liu F, Xie M, Chen R, Tan Q-Get al., 2024,

  Toxicokinetics and Mussel Watch: Addressing Interspecies Differences for Coastal Cadmium Contamination Assessment

  , ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY, Vol: 58, Pages: 14618-14628, ISSN: 0013-936X
  • Cite
• Report
  Barnes C, Santos FLM, Libonati R, Keeping T, Rodrigues R, Alves LM, Sivanu S, Vahlberg M, Alcayna T, Otto F, Zachariah M, Singh R, Mugge M, Biehl J, Petryna A, Dias M, Reis E, Uzquiano Set al., 2024,

  Hot, dry and windy conditions that drove devastating Pantanal wildfires 40% more intense due to climate change

  , Publisher: Centre for Environmental Policy
  • Cite
• Report
  Jennings N, Brandmayr C, 2024,

  How can action to tackle climate change improve people’s health and save the NHS money?

  To achieve Net Zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050 and contribute to global efforts to avoid the worst consequences of climate change, policies are required that reduce emissions across the whole of UK society including the transport, housing and agriculture sectors. Climate action could play an important role in helping to reduce existing health inequalities, improving public health and responding to the high levels of pressure on the NHS.

  • Abstract
  • Cite
• Report
  Lawrance E, Newberry Le Vay J, El Omrani O, Howitt P, Jennings N, Meinsma N, Watson Det al., 2024,

  Global Agenda for Research and Action in Climate Change and Mental Health

  • Cite
• Journal article
  Greene SM, Schachat SR, Arita-Merino N, Cao XE, Gurnani H, Heyns M, Cagigas ML, Maikawa CL, Needham EJ, Perets EA, Phillips E, Waddle AW, Wilkinson CE, Zhou KC, Zlotnick HMet al., 2024,

  Accessible interview practices for disabled scientists and engineers

  , ISCIENCE, Vol: 27
  • Cite
• Journal article
  Rao RR, Bucci A, Corby S, Moss B, Liang C, Gopakumar A, Stephens IEL, Lloret-Fillol J, Durrant JRet al., 2024,

  Unraveling the Role of Particle Size and Nanostructuring on the Oxygen Evolution Activity of Fe-Doped NiO

  , ACS CATALYSIS, Vol: 14, Pages: 11389-11399, ISSN: 2155-5435
  • Cite
• Journal article
  Liang C, Rao RR, Svane KL, Hadden JHL, Moss B, Scott SB, Sachs M, Murawski J, Frandsen AM, Riley DJ, Ryan MP, Rossmeisl J, Durrant JR, Stephens IELet al., 2024,

  Unravelling the effects of active site density and energetics on the water oxidation activity of iridium oxides

  , Nature Catalysis, Vol: 7, Pages: 763-775, ISSN: 2520-1158

  Understanding what controls the reaction rate on iridium-based catalysts is central to designing better electrocatalysts for the water oxidation reaction in proton exchange membrane electrolysers. Here we quantify the densities of redox-active centres and probe their binding strengths on amorphous IrOx and rutile IrO2 using operando time-resolved optical spectroscopy. We establish a quantitative experimental correlation between the intrinsic reaction rate and the active-state energetics. We find that adsorbed oxygen species, *O, formed at water oxidation potentials, exhibit repulsive adsorbate–adsorbate interactions. Increasing their coverage weakens their binding, thereby promoting O–O bond formation, which is the rate-determining step. These analyses suggest that although amorphous IrOx exhibits a higher geometric current density, the intrinsic reaction rates per active state on IrOx and IrO2 are comparable at given potentials. Finally, we present a modified volcano plot that elucidates how the intrinsic water oxidation kinetics can be increased by optimizing both the binding energy and the interaction strength between the catalytically active states.

  • Abstract
  • Publisher Web Link
  • Cite
• Report
  Pinto I, Barnes C, Philip S, Kew S, Cerezo-Mota R, Tannenbaum A, Winkley S, Pershing A, Vahlberg M, Pereira Marghidan C, Izquierdo K, Sivanu S, Keith L, Kleeman M, Otto F, Avila Flores B, Arroyo Barrantes S, Singh R, Mistry M, Kimutai Jet al., 2024,

  Extreme heat killing more than 100 people in Mexico hotter and much more likely due to climate change

  • Cite
• Report
  Rogelj J, Stern N, Zenghelis D, Valero A, Ekins P, Bell K, Qadrdan M, Cipcigan L, Hampton S, Whitmarsh L, Moorcroft Het al., 2024,

  The truth about climate action in the UK: dispelling common myths to underline the importance of acting on net zero

  To help unpack the evidence and provide greater clarity about what is fact and what is false, this collection of essays authored by academics from across the UK explores a range of topics that are often featured in public and policy discussion on climate change.The essays outline the key evidence on climate science, the economic implications of climate action, the performance and costs of technologies and infrastructure to reduce emissions, and public attitudes to net zero.

  • Abstract
  • Cite
• Report
  Zachariah M, Saeed F, Barnes C, Clarke B, Vahlberg M, Thalheimer L, Otto F, Philip S, Kew S, Singh R, Rodriguez LC, Zeb A, Khan Aet al., 2024,

  Increasing April-May rainfall, El Niño and high vulnerability behind deadly flooding in Afghanistan, Pakistan and Iran

  , Publisher: Centre for Environmental Policy
  • Cite
• Report
  Brandmayr C, Bird J, Jennings N, Gilbert A, Ward B, Burke J, Mercer L, Serin Eet al., 2024,

  General Election 2024: climate change priorities for the next UK Government

  • Cite
• Journal article
  Lee H, Kim K-H, Rao RR, Park DG, Choi WH, Choi JH, Kim DW, Jung DH, Stephens IEL, Durrant JR, Kang JKet al., 2024,

  A hydrogen radical pathway for efficacious electrochemical nitrate reduction to ammonia over an Fe-polyoxometalate/Cu electrocatalyst

  , MATERIALS HORIZONS, ISSN: 2051-6347
  • Cite
• Report
  Clarke B, Barnes C, Rodrigues R, Zachariah M, Alves LM, Haarsma R, Pinto I, Yang W, Vahlberg M, Vecchi G, Izquierdo K, Kimutai J, Otto F, Philip S, Kew S, Singh R, Biehl J, Mugge Met al., 2024,

  Climate change, El Niño and infrastructure failures behind massive floods in southern Brazil

  , Publisher: Centre for Environmental Policy
  • Cite
• Journal article
  Rai UJ, Oluleye G, Hawkes A, 2024,

  Stochastic optimisation model to determine the optimal contractual capacity of a distributed energy resource offered in a balancing services contract to maximise profit

  , Energy Reports, Vol: 11, Pages: 5800-5818, ISSN: 2352-4847

  In the realm of grid balancing services, determining the generation capacity of a distributed energy resource for contractual agreements with the system operator is pivotal. However, prevalent heuristic or deterministic methodologies employed by demand response aggregators often lack risk assessment and may not optimize generation capacity allocation. Consequently, the potential for maximizing utilization profits remains untapped. This paper addresses these limitations and explains the necessity of using the optimal generation capacity of a grid-connected distributed energy resource which is also fulfilling site electricity demand to maximise profit and mitigate penalties both for demand response aggregators and their clients. Demand response aggregators provide these services to the system operator on behalf of their clients whose electrical generation assets they utilize on a profit-sharing basis. The primary challenge investigated in this study lies in effectively managing the uncertainty surrounding both site electricity demand and short-term operating reserve calls by the system operator through a novel two-step approach. Firstly, a demand bin characterization technique is employed to account for site demand uncertainty. Subsequently, a stochastic model utilizing mixed integer nonlinear programming is developed using the General Algebraic Modeling System, incorporating five years of uncertainty regarding the frequency of short-term operating reserve calls which makes it instrumental and novel in determining optimal contractual generation capacity in a balancing service contract, as well as associated profits and penalties, under varying utilization prices. This distinctiveness positions it as an advancement over and distinct from deterministic approaches. Case study results demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed stochastic model in comparison to deterministic methods utilized in prior research. Specifically, the stochastic model yields a realistic profit incr

  • Abstract
  • Publisher Web Link
  • Cite
• Journal article
  Holm DD, Hu R, Street OD, 2024,

  Geometric mechanics of the vertical slice model

  , Geometric Mechanics, Vol: 01, Pages: 77-121, ISSN: 2972-4589

  <jats:p> The goals of this work are to: (i) investigate the dynamics of oceanic frontogenesis by taking advantage of the geometric mechanics underlying the class of Vertical Slice Models (VSMs) of ocean dynamics and (ii) illustrate the versatility and utility of deterministic and stochastic variational approaches by deriving several variants of wave–current interaction models which describe the effects of internal waves propagating within a vertical planar slice embedded in a 3D region of constant horizontal gradient of buoyancy in the direction transverse to the vertical plane. </jats:p>

  • Abstract
  • Publisher Web Link
  • Cite
• Journal article
  Quilodran-Casas C, Li Q, Zhang N, Cheng S, Yan S, Ma Q, Arcucci Ret al., 2024,

  Exploring unseen 3D scenarios of physics variables using machine learning-based synthetic data: An application to wave energy converters

  , ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE, Vol: 177, ISSN: 1364-8152
  • Cite
• Report
  El Omrani O, Massazza A, Fleury J, Funani A, Guluzade N, Jatene I, Lawrance E, Jennings N, Souza de Camargo T, Vergunst F, Vicente dos Santos Ferreira Jet al., 2024,

  Submission by The Climate Cares Centre and United for Global Mental Health to the Expert Dialogue on Children and Climate Change

  • Cite
• Report
  Vrkic D, 2024,

  Test Dora

  • Cite
• Working paper
  Bird J, 2024,

  Autumn and winter storms in the UK 2023-24

  • Cite

This data is extracted from the Web of Science and reproduced under a licence from Thomson Reuters. You may not copy or re-distribute this data in whole or in part without the written consent of the Science business of Thomson Reuters.