Pledges and policies: are we on track to meet climate goals?

Please note, this briefing paper has been updated since its original publication in November 2024 to reflect new research and evidence on the topic.

This briefing paper has also been published individually as a webpage: Pledges and policies: are we on track to meet climate goals?

Authors: Professor Joeri Rogelj, Dr Robin Lamboll and Jenny Bird

Media enquiries: grantham.media@imperial.ac.uk  
Policy enquiries: j.bird@imperial.ac.uk   

Key points:

• Current pledges and policies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions put the world on a high-risk climate track, towards warming levels of 2.8°C by the end of this century.
• In the most optimistic assessment, where all current climate pledges and policies are delivered, temperatures are projected to rise by 1.9°C over the 21st century.